Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 297.884248 337.805787 382.419914 436.220498 499.665897 572.503511 663.023875
2025-02-09 238.656937 290.559207 353.961925 438.098924 548.313983 689.901123 889.072802
2025-02-16 201.625345 256.395332 327.109690 426.883890 566.984531 761.347973 1059.962160
2025-02-23 176.424394 232.104707 307.203637 418.528786 584.053464 829.096742 1235.620945
2025-03-02 162.907083 220.970936 302.449073 428.864950 627.228687 939.836319 1499.420293
2025-03-09 149.222340 207.586531 292.234236 428.734325 653.091497 1026.647384 1742.845878
2025-03-16 135.772728 192.887478 278.044495 419.936267 662.663715 1086.774348 1951.608213
2025-03-23 126.693426 183.670653 270.929619 421.069706 688.322698 1178.636531 2244.350006
2025-03-30 116.758158 172.131522 258.848785 412.148850 694.440294 1234.719489 2477.325083
2025-04-06 109.510385 164.127171 251.563939 410.358416 712.936522 1317.651077 2793.042039
2025-04-13 99.866163 151.472599 235.426791 390.947462 694.908530 1322.495823 2924.609393
2025-04-20 97.439448 150.395677 238.599575 406.858330 748.460906 1489.530502 3518.920019
2025-04-27 95.938219 150.871767 244.718413 429.549781 820.875097 1718.323846 4383.363033
2025-05-04 91.174012 145.408298 239.852660 430.451622 847.295012 1845.987919 5012.207186
2025-05-11 85.234607 137.435721 229.715529 419.569282 845.678155 1903.339113 5442.870980
2025-05-18 80.216837 130.734822 221.360436 411.380753 848.976142 1974.479824 5955.771537
2025-05-25 77.955488 128.800725 221.752375 421.500056 897.254346 2180.104149 7073.180737
2025-06-01 74.634795 124.690052 217.614696 421.372093 920.420717 2320.668521 8020.314681
2025-06-08 70.619335 119.028493 210.007381 412.759496 920.723400 2393.299965 8723.331231
2025-06-15 67.977286 115.765968 206.882540 413.869092 946.629757 2553.154493 9939.119730
2025-06-22 64.507007 110.718609 199.797162 405.135484 944.750156 2622.663112 10760.706091
2025-06-29 61.983707 107.338794 195.864384 403.382520 961.989674 2762.464392 12070.959017
2025-07-06 57.973038 100.860284 185.116743 384.375349 927.601103 2712.347429 12264.896988